AI is Oil, Not God
Why the battle for open weights is a victory for capitalism, not a risk to humanity
The tech industry is currently locked in a theological debate disguised as a regulatory one. On one side, there are those who view artificial intelligence as a burgeoning deity—a sentient force capable of deciding the fate of the human race. On the other, there is a camp of pragmatic capitalists who see it as something far more useful: oil. This distinction matters because it dictates whether we should lock these models behind high walls or let them flow through the global economy like a combustible, refining resource.
The Strategy of Commoditisation
Recent moves by industry giants like Nvidia and Microsoft suggest a shift toward the latter view. By supporting open-weight models, these companies are engaging in a classic bit of business strategy: commoditising their products' complements. If the model layer becomes cheap and ubiquitous, the value shifts to the hardware that runs them and the software that uses them. For Nvidia, more models mean more chip demand. For Microsoft, it means more integrated intelligence in every enterprise tool. It is a selfish act that happens to benefit the consumer by preventing a duopoly between OpenAI and Anthropic.
Signing this letter is a selfish act that also happens to align with the interests of consumers and millions of businesses.
The argument for restriction usually rests on the fear of 'bad actors' fine-tuning models to bypass safety protocols. Critics suggest that open access provides a roadmap for cyberattacks or biological threats. However, this precautionary principle often ignores the reality of economic scaling. If AI is a multiplier, then restricting it is akin to trying to regulate the flow of electricity to prevent a single person from building a dangerous machine. It is an impossible task that stifles the very progress that could build better defences.
- Prevents model-layer duopolies
- Lowers the cost of intelligence for startups
- Drives hardware demand through ubiquity
- Creates a more resilient, distributed ecosystem
We must decide if we are building a temple or a refinery. If we treat AI as a god, we will spend our time building altars and seeking permission. If we treat it as oil, we will focus on building the engines, the pipelines, and the infrastructure that turn raw computation into economic value. The winners of this decade will be those who stop praying to the models and start building with them.
Treat AI as a scalable commodity to be refined, not a deity to be feared.